Archive for the ‘Housing Market’ Category

Why The Housing Bubble Burst: Explaining Economic Homicide

Thursday, December 13th, 2012

Roy Oppenheim’s commentary was originally published on Yahoo! Homes and is being republished on South Florida Law Blog with their permission.

Housing BubbleIt is easy to call Wall Street a villain and lay the blame for the housing collapse at their doorstep, and I did just that in one of my recent blogs, where I likened the banks’ conduct during the housing collapse to “economic homicide.”

My Rabbi asked me to further explain the concept of foreseeability, a notion I touched on in the blog, as it relates back to the banks and the real estate bubble.

So allow me to explain, but first, please grant me a few more hyperboles.

If you pour gasoline on a fire, then you’d have to know that fire would accelerate. Otherwise people would think you are a fool.

Likewise as people often refer to the real estate market as a bubble, I like to think of the banks and their agents as people who filled that bubble with helium.

At some point they’d have to know it would burst. It was absolutely foreseeable. So how did they “fill the bubble?”

First, they completely disregarded underwriting guidelines. Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and most of the big banks took shortcuts, playing fast and loose with guidelines they once held sacred.

They signed off on these loans without considering their underwriting obligations, without checking whether the borrower was creditworthy, or even checking tax returns. More loans went out, and into the securitization machine, but of course the quality of those securitized trusts ended up resembling something your dog might leave behind on the sidewalk.
(more…)

Why President Obama Will Win

Tuesday, November 6th, 2012

Roy Oppenheim’s commentary was originally published on Yahoo! Homes and is being republished on South Florida Law Blog with their permission.

I Voted!Last week a reporter asked me whether or not I thought President Barack Obama had done enough during the foreclosure crisis.

I told him no, of course, and that if Obama does not win a second term, it would be because of housing. When Obama campaigned back in 2008, he campaigned as a populist, yet that did not hold over once he took office. He has at times seemed more interested in bailing out banks than homeowners.

If Gov. Mitt Romney had more strongly positioned himself as the candidate for Main Street, rather than as an advocate for big business, then perhaps this election would not be as close as it is.

But he too has failed to realize the importance of housing as a political issue. The folks in foreclosure and its impact on the real estate market, even days before the election, just is not being talked about by both political parties.

Most homeowners I have come across are keenly aware of this fact. So if neither candidate has done enough to address how to stabilize the housing market, then who wins?

I wasn’t certain before Hurricane Sandy wrecked havoc on the Northeast. But now in the storm’s aftermath, we are seeing a president who is taking charge, and as they say, being presidential. And when you have staunch Republicans like Gov. Chris Christie singing the president’s praises, you have to wonder if Romney’s window of opportunity has closed.
(more…)

New Ideas To Fix The Housing Crisis? Nothing to See Here

Monday, September 10th, 2012

Nothing To See HereWith the presidential race entering its final stretch and with the employment figures remaining effectively flat, one would think that the housing crisis would have already been front and center by now.

As I have said numerous times every economic recovery since the Depression has been led by the housing sector.

But only now do we have a fuller picture of both the Republicans’ and Democrats’ agendas on housing.

AND TO SAY THE LEAST I AM UNDERWHELMED.

In the wake of both conventions, each party has made their official party platforms public, and yes, they both at least try to address some aspects of the foreclosure crisis.

With the Democrats, there is a firmer grasp of the housing picture, but I still haven’t heard a solution from them that has the teeth to have a lasting impact.

They recognize the importance of refinancing, which is good, but to date nothing they have done has forced the banks to refinance. So the intent is there, but there is little actual follow through.

Not HARP or any of the alphabet soup programs created during the last four years have done anything to truly encourage refinancing. There’s too much please and thank you in the Democrats programs, when it is time for them to be the stern parent and send the banks to bed without their supper.

You must make refinancing in the banks’ best interest, to me the only way for that to happen would be to reinstate Franklin Roosevelt’s Home Owners Loan Corporation.

It closed up shop in the 1950’s, and mortgage lending hasn’t been the same since.
(more…)

Is The Housing Market Actually Rebounding? The Shadow (Inventory) Knows!

Monday, August 27th, 2012

It is hard to feel comfortable about housing these days, even though that is what many real estate indexes indicate that is what we should be doing.

That is because the shadow inventory, homes owned by banks but kept off the market, still lingers.

But Housing Secretary Shaun Donovan, says he and the rest of the Obama administration do not fear the the shadow inventory.

But should they? Maybe not.

The housing market is on the rebound. Several indexes show that homes prices are stabilizing, and home sales are rebounding. The signs are optimistic.

But lets take off the rose-colored glasses for a moment. We are not out of the woods just yet. It is foolish to think that the nation’s shadow inventory is going to evaporate overnight.

The fact is the banks are in no rush to eliminate the shadow inventory. In fact it is not in their best interest to do so. They will slowly bleed out their inventory, because if they put too many properties on the market at once, they will push prices down, which would in turn push the value of the homes they still have in their inventory down.

And if they actually dumped all their inventory on the market at once?

If they actually managed to either foreclose or sell off every last home they posses, the banks would have to write down their assets within 90 days of any foreclosure or sale.

Forgetting for a moment the near-statistical impossibility of the banks being able to sell or foreclose on all their outstanding inventory all at once, the banks would become certifiably insolvent if in fact they managed to clear their inventory in one swift swoop.
(more…)


PHP/MySQL Components, WordPress Plugins, and Technology Opinions at TravisWeston.com

Bad Behavior has blocked 1458 access attempts in the last 7 days.