Posts Tagged ‘negative equity’

Prediction: “Impossible Number” of Foreclosures to Come?

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

If the apple does not fall far from the tree; how far does the real estate market fall from foreclosures?

More than 11.5 million people will eventually default on their mortgages, predicts a leading mortgage analyst.

Did you read that right? Yes.

It’s no surprise that the weakening real-estate market has a strong correlation to the amount of severe negative-equity properties forecast to foreclose. Just like the old saying goes: the apple does not fall far from the tree.

Amherst Securities Group LP, one of the most respected companies in mortgage research, fears the current conditions are leading to an “impossible number” of defaults. This means more homeowners will lose their homes and more properties will be foreclosed.

So what does this mean for you?

More foreclosed homes mean an even greater supply of distressed homes. This excess inventory will lead to greater drops in the values of houses, not to mention the effects on communities as a whole.

As a result of more distressed houses, homeowners will also find it even more difficult to sell their houses. Such conditions lead to a feedback loop of underwater homes because of greater drops in home values and therefore a greater number of foreclosures.

To make matters worse, government intervention could alleviate the pain, however, the government seems unable or unwilling to do what needs to be done.

In order to stabilize home prices, government-owned Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could remove excess inventory from the sale market and list them on the rental market. A smaller sales inventory will stabilize the market and help home prices to begin to recover. A greater amount of homes in the rental market will also cause rental prices to drop, helping struggling renters who are unable to buy.

If you are already trapped in the depths of default, you need to seek a professional to help you avoid a deficiency judgment. Oppenheim Law can offer you strategies for crafting your own bailout.

 

 

 

Today’s NYT Foreclosure Policy Editorial; My Thoughts Exactly

Friday, March 6th, 2009

Déjà vu. I awoke this morning to today’s New York Times top editorial Helping the House Poor . It was a direct reflection of my Florida foreclosure defense concerns discussed at length last night over the Obama Foreclosure plan. We had a full house of Florida homeowners facing foreclosure, real estate professionals dealing with the foreclosure and short sale markets,  as well as WSVN’s Andre Hepkins reporting on this national economic foreclosure crisis.

The Obama Foreclosure plan problem:  it does little for people who have a small amount or no equity in their homes.

The reason is simple: When you have little or no equity in your homes you have little or no incentive to keep the mortgage current.  “Owner” becomes “renter”… of his or her own home. Meaning that at the end you will have built zippo equity after making your mortgage payments.

Thus, the consensus is building fast. The stock market too seems to be speaking. Until the markets and government address a way to eliminate the negative equity in the mortgage market we will likely not get through this foreclosure mess.

The House of Representatives spoke yesterday too! They passed a major change in the bankruptcy rules allowing a judge to alter the principal amounts of outstanding principal balances of mortgages when it exceeds the market value of homes. We all call that a “Cram Down”. Because the judge is cramming down the principal reduction down the throat of the banks. In other words it’s a forced modification. Some people consider it a cram up… but I won’t go there!

As a foreclosure defense attorney, I’ve been strongly advocating for the judges to have this new authority since it gives us attorneys a new weapon to negotiate with the banks. In my opinion, the threat of the cram down is as important, if not more important, than actually going through the whole bankruptcy process.  In fact, just last night I noted this the missing “club” in the weapon’s arsenal of foreclosure attorneys to help level the negotiating playing field.

I must say it has been rather lonely out there– with little support from anyone including the courts. So, it’s great to see we finally we are getting some help from The President and Congress. But the law has not passed yet. The Senate still needs to vote and things are less certain there.

What can you do?

Do what we’ve been trained to do. Call BOTH your United States Senators and tell them what you think. And remember, if you live in one of the hard hit states for foreclosure: California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and a few others. This new law may determine you, your family’s and your State’s financial health.

For those who joined me last night at the Foreclosure and Bailout Workshop… I thank you for your time and input. Be my guest at my up to the minute Foreclosure Defense Workshops on the first Thursday of Each Month. Next one is schedule for Thursday April 2, 2009 at my office.


Bad Behavior has blocked 1815 access attempts in the last 7 days.