At my most recent seminar last week I discussed the possibility of a Black Swan event occurring that would literally change the complexion of the South Florida real estate market. A Black Swan event is something that just can’t be anticipated. At that moment I gave as an example the possibility of tens of thousands of folks from Venezuela fleeing to South Florida from Chavez’s new economic restrictions.

Now it is already anticipated that Haitian refugees will likely be arriving in South Florida over the next several months and likely years. They will need to be housed and be fully integrated into the community.

Further I had discussed that as a nation and as a community, we are blessed with a housing stock or what I call our “Ark”. That Ark of excess vacant housing can now be deployed with the assistance of FEMA and HUD and other governmental programs to help our struggling island neighbors.

Thus, once again not even the best economists could have anticipated the economic impact both good and bad that such an unthinkable crisis can have to a community. I do hope that with so many vacant homes and condos now in South Florida, and many still owned by the Banks, that we will be able to utilize this housing reserve.