Posts Tagged ‘subprime crisis impact timeline’

The Hazard of Moral Hazard

Tuesday, January 15th, 2013

Roy Oppenheim’s commentary was originally published on Yahoo Homes! and is being redistributed on South Florida Law Blog with their permission

Businessman walking tightropeThose who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

We already know that the banks haven’t learned from their mistakes. They can and often will engage in risky behavior given the opportunity.

So why do regulators and those who have the chance to do something about it continue to give banks the wiggle room? Wall Street’s business model is inherently flawed, which is why banks are continually getting hit with hefty fines.

Yet banking lobbyists continue to hold immense clout in shaping regulation that will have a lasting impact on housing for years to come.

The business pages have been littered with headlines lately suggesting that governments still treat the banks like E.F. Hutton. When they talk, regulators still listen; case in point, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision easing up on certain liquidity requirements in the Basel III rule. There is a great deal of dense technical jargon that will quite frankly bore most of you but the takeaway is this — banks still get their way and will still be able to take as many risks as they want.

Back here in the States, new mortgage lending rules trotted out by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau are supposed to curtail so-called “liar loans” by requiring a more vigorous income verification process.

Except that those new tougher standards will be eased in over the next few years rather implemented immediately, so for the meanwhile it is business as usual.
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Residential Real Estate Market Already Headed Over Fiscal Cliff

Saturday, November 10th, 2012

Roy Oppenheim’s commentary was originally published on Yahoo! Homes and is being republished on South Florida Law Blog with their permission.

Thelma and Louise Going Over The CliffThey say there is no rest for the weary, and that seems especially appropriate for our nation’s elected officials.

Election Day may be still be fresh in our rear-view mirror, but in case you have forgotten, the lame duck session of Congress begins Monday. And they will have little time to celebrate or lick their wounds, because the economy is under a very real threat.

The media has dubbed it the “Fiscal Cliff”. This cliff, which is a series of automatic tax increases and spending cuts set to be enacted on December 31st, could drive the economy back into a recession, according to a new Congressional Office Budget report.

Here’s the problem: for people like myself on the front lines of the real estate market, the fiscal cliff is not some imminent threat, it’s already here.

When it is all said and done, DC’s landscape is almost identical to what is was before Tuesday, and the very same problems that were ignored during the election are now staring us right back in the face.

Let’s be real, Thelma and Louise are inches away from driving over the Grand Canyon. That is where we are right now with the housing market. I am not trying to scare anyone, but for those of us on the front lines of the housing crisis, there are some troubling signs.

There have been many cautious signs of improvement in real estate over the last few months, and on paper the housing market is starting to stabilize.
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Did Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Just Admit Principal Reduction is Good?

Monday, March 26th, 2012

Could Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac finally be willing to sign off on principal reduction as a way to keep homeowners out of foreclosure and in their homes?

Edward DeMarco, the acting head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and de facto leader of the two GSEs has been steadfast in his opposition.

President Obama has made principal reduction priority one. It was one of the highlights of the mortgage settlement and many economists point to it as the way out of this housing mess.

But DeMarco still hasn’t budged, because he says principal reduction will cost the taxpayer money and isn’t good for Fannie and Freddie’s bottom line.

Except maybe it is.

According to NPR and ProPublica, executives at both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have concluded that principal reduction would prevent larger losses and in fact, save the two companies money.

Their report claims that in part because of new Obama incentives, which would reimburse lenders half of what they write off, that Fannie and Freddie would benefit from principal reduction

These presentations have yet to be made public, but Democrats are already clamoring to see them. And so am I.

Look I’m not saying that principal reduction comes without risk. Could everyone decide to stop paying their mortgages in order to get a write-down? Sure.

But just because you might get hit by a car doesn’t mean you don’t cross the street. The housing market will NEVER rebound if people keep getting kicked to the curb.

And I don’t care what Edward DeMarco has said, the bottom line shouldn’t be his bottom line. It shouldn’t be about what is cost effective, it should be about what keeps borrowers in their homes. Last time I checked, they are taxpayers too.
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